Thursday, January 4, 2018

Universal Income? Is this like a Star Trek Economy?

Universal Basic Income: Why Elon Musk Thinks It May Be The Future

Universal basic income (UBI), an unconditional allowance afforded to all citizens for the bare essentials of life, is an old idea that's garnered support from members of both the left and right. Notable supporters have been as disparate as civil rights activist Martin Luther King, Jr. and libertarian economist Milton Friedman.

 From article, (Universal basic income (UBI), an unconditional allowance afforded to all citizens for the bare essentials of life, is an old idea that’s garnered support from members of both the left and right. Notable supporters have been as disparate as civil rights activist Martin Luther King, Jr. and libertarian economist Milton Friedman. The Nixon Administration even attempted to pass a basic income guarantee through Congress and failed only narrowly due to a disagreement as to how much the stipend should be.
Now, the debate over universal basic income is being renewed by industry leaders and billionaires who include Mark Zuckerberg, Richard Branson and Elon Musk, among others.
As automation approaches, the world is faced with the problem of displacement. One Oxford study predicts 47 percent of jobs are at a high risk of computerization in the next two decades. Previously, the authors published a study that seemed to be much more optimistic about the rate of replacement for workers. Their latest study seems to suggest that human workers are now losing the race against automation.
Deep learning is propelling artificial intelligence forward at a much faster clip than ever anticipated. Automation has eaten away at manufacturing jobs for the past few decades, and many expect manual labor and transportation jobs to be the next casualties of smart software. What’s somewhat shocking is the prediction that the service industry jobs may also be at very high risk, despite being an industry that has experienced some of the largest growth in the last two decades. As machines grow more able to recognize complex patterns, complete increasingly involved tasks and sense the world around them, more livelihoods will become susceptible to computerization.
Musk, the founder of Tesla and SpaceX, estimates that up to 15 percent of the world’s working population could be out of work due to self-driving AI, a machine-learning technology Tesla is working tirelessly to perfect.
Training these workers to develop creative and social skills or providing them with funds to seek higher education may not be feasible. In fact, it may be only a temporary solution as the reach of automation expands, possibly eliminating sects of skilled labor. At the World Government Summit in Dubai in February last year, underscoring the need to potentially accommodate such a colossal shift, Musk asserted, ​“There will be fewer and fewer jobs that a robot cannot do better.”​
“I think we’ll end up doing universal basic income,” he said. “It’s going to be necessary.”)
Me, "Universal Income makes sense. How would it be funded though? It would work sort of like Social Security. A tax on Income made by a corporation.
The tax would be on corporations who build the robots, service the robots and operate the robots that replace human workers. If these corporations are making money at a human workers expense, they should pay some kind of income tax that the displaced human worker should be compensated with. 

Is this how the Star Trek economy works? In the Star Trek universe there is no money. There has been a mention of credits that can be used to buy things. So, does the Star Trek universe characters live off of a Universal Income?  
I don't think so. I think in the Star Trek universe the technology has progressed so much that there is no need for any kind of income. If you've seen a replicator on Star Trek The Next Generation a person can replicate anything they want. So, there is no shortage of anything. Food, Shelter, Clothing, Luxury items are all a replicator command a way.  Even the credits given to buy things in economies that still have a capitalist system are probably replicated.
As Captain Picard said, "The use of money as a motivating factor no longer exists. We work now to better ourselves."
So, until we have Replicator technology, a Universal Income is the next best thing."

Orbital ATK's Rocket is a Next Generation Rocket? Unless they are like SpaceX's Reusable Rockets. Don't believe the Hype.

Proposed Orbital ATK rocket takes next step toward KSC launches

An agreement with the Air Force is the latest step in Orbital ATK's effort to ready a new rocket for launch from Kennedy Space Center by 2021. The agreement formalizes a plan that could lead to the Air Force certifying the company's proposed Next Generation Launch system, or NGL, to fly national security missions.

From article, (An agreement with the Air Force is the latest step in Orbital ATK’s effort to ready a new rocket for launch from Kennedy Space Center by 2021.

The agreement formalizes a plan that could lead to the Air Force certifying the company’s proposed Next Generation Launch system, or NGL, to fly national security missions.

The certification plan envisions two launches in 2021 by the intermediate version of the NGL rocket from KSC’s pad 39B, which NASA would share with its own deep space exploration rocket, the Space Launch System.
The NGL is one of several vehicles competing to win a new round of Air Force launch contracts.
The service this summer is expected to award initial agreements to three companies to continue developing prototypes of new or upgraded rockets.

Two of the three will be selected as soon as 2019 for launches beginning in 2022.

That will fulfill the Air Force's goal to end reliance on Russian rocket engines that now power many missions flown by United Launch Alliance’s Atlas V. The Air Force already has helped fund work on new propulsion systems by Orbital ATK, ULA, SpaceX and Aerojet Rocketdyne.
Orbital ATK is attempting to unseat incumbents ULA or SpaceX, the only companies certified to launch national security missions such as Global Positioning System, communications and missile warning satellites.

The NGL is based on the Solid Rocket Boosters once flown by NASA’s space shuttle, and that will help lift the space agency's 322-foot SLS rocket, which is targeting a first flight in late 2019 or 2020.

Upgrades include 12-foot-diameter booster segment casings made with composites instead of steel. A 
test-firing of the intermediate rocket’s first and second stages is planned in 2019 in Utah.
 Orbital ATK says it and the Air Force have jointly invested more than $200 million in the concept so far.)

Tesla as Back Up.

A big 48 MWh Tesla Powerpack system will power the island of Nantucket

National Grid announced this week that its project for a 48 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system on the island of Nantucket has been greenlit and Tesla has been selected to provide the batteries. Nantucket is a small island of about 10,000 permanent residents about 30 miles off the Massachusetts coast, but it's also a very popular touristic location.

 From article, (National Grid announced this week that its project for a 48 megawatt-hour battery energy storage system on the island of Nantucket has been greenlit and Tesla has been selected to provide the batteries.
Nantucket is a small island of about 10,000 permanent residents about 30 miles off the Massachusetts coast, but it’s also a very popular touristic location.

The island’s electricity is currently supplied via two submarine cables that connect to the mainland transmission system on Cape Cod.
It results in a critical failure point, but the island’s power is still secured with two six-megawatt diesel generators acting as backup power.

Now National Grid explains that those two generators are reaching the end of their useful life and need to be replaced.
The company is looking ahead and sees that the island’s electricity demand is increasing and they would likely need to add a third submarine cable within the next decade or so.

Therefore, they instead suggested the 6 MW/48 MWh battery energy storage system with only one new generator. This way, the battery system can act as backup for short interruptions in power and the generator can kick in to recharge the batteries if needed.
But maybe more importantly, the battery system will also serve to reduce peak demand from the island and stabilize the grid.)

Reputation Matters.

Tesla is chosen to build another big battery in Australia after the first one proves impressive

Tesla's Powerpack project at a wind farm in South Australia garnered a lot of attention in media - mainly because of Elon Musk's bet for Tesla to bring it online in "100 days or it will be free" and the fact that it became the most powerful battery system in the world.

From article, (Tesla’s Powerpack project at a wind farm in South Australia garnered a lot of attention in media – mainly because of Elon Musk’s bet for Tesla to bring it online in “100 days or it will be free” and the fact that it became the most powerful battery system in the world.
But now that it is deployed, those things don’t matter much and the battery system is instead impressing with its capacity, like when it reacted within milliseconds when an Australian coal power plant removed itself from the power grid last month.
The successful use of the Powerpack system apparently inspired the neighboring state of Victoria to also choose Tesla for the deployment of another massive battery system.

AFR reported today that Tesla was picked to build a 20 MW battery system to support their 204 MW wind farm at the Bulgana Green Power Hub in Western Victoria.
We are talking about a less powerful battery system than the one in South Australia, but it should still end up being one of Tesla’s biggest projects to date.)

You've heard of Google Maps? Now, there is Tesla Maps.

Tesla launches a new web-based trip planning tool using the Supercharger network

Tesla is launching today a new trip planner tool that resembles Tesla's in-car navigation system using Superchargers to plan routes that require more than one full charge. The main difference is that the new tool is accessible from a web browser and not only to Tesla owners.
From article, (Tesla is launching today a new trip planner tool that resembles Tesla’s in-car navigation system using Superchargers to plan routes that require more than one full charge.

The main difference is that the new tool is accessible from a web browser and not only to Tesla owners.To tool is built on Google Maps and works just like the normal service, but users can choose a Tesla vehicle with a specific range (only vehicles currently for sale) and plot a route based on the Supercharger network.

The company is presenting this as an education tool for prospective Tesla customers who want to learn more about what it would be like to plan a long-distance trip in a Tesla vehicle.It’s accessible on Tesla’s website.)

U.S. Manned Flight Launches? Soon.

NASA Closer To Launching Astronauts From U.S. Once Again

NASA is another step closer to launching astronauts to the International space station from U.S. soil. Two private companies will soon ferry astronauts to the International Space Station from Florida's Space Coast. United Launch Alliance will launch Boeing's Starliner spacecraft on an Atlas V rocket.


From article, (Boeing said it’s on track to launch an uncrewed capsule in August, followed by a crewed test flight in November. The uncrewed mission will send the Starliner to the International Space Station. There, it will spend about two weeks docked to the station. Then it will return to Earth where it will land in the western United States.
SpaceX is the other company awarded a NASA contract to send astronauts to the ISS. It plans to launch a test mission with no people onboard of the Crew Dragon capsule in April, followed by a test flight with astronauts in August.
Work continues on six Crew Dragon capsules. In 2018, SpaceX will rigorously test the engines powering the Falcon 9 rocket and the capsule ahead of the two test missions. SpaceX is planning a parachute test in mid-2018.)

Becoming a Large Wind Power Player

EGPNA starts operation of the first incentive-free wind farms in Oklahoma

Enel S.p.A., through its U.S.-based renewables subsidiary Enel Green Power North America, Inc. (EGPNA), started operations of two new wind farms: the Thunder Ranch wind farm, which has a capacity of around 298 MW, and of the Red Dirt wind facility, which has a capacity of around 300 MW, both located in Oklahoma.


From article, (Enel S.p.A., through its U.S.-based renewables subsidiary Enel Green Power North America, Inc. (EGPNA), started operations of two new wind farms: the Thunder Ranch wind farm, which has a capacity of around 298 MW, and of the Red Dirt wind facility, which has a capacity of around 300 MW, both located in Oklahoma.

As a result, EGPNA has become the largest wind player in the state, with more than 1,700 MW of managed capacity across 10 wind farms.

 In Oklahoma, in addition to Thunder Ranch and Red Dirt, the company already manages the wind farms Rocky Ridge (150 MW), Chisholm View I & II (300 MW in total), Origin (150 MW), Osage Wind (150 MW), Little Elk (74 MW), Goodwell (200 MW) and Drift Sand (108 MW). The company’s overall investment in Oklahoma amounts to more than $2.7 billion since 2012.)

Me, "Its not impossible to become a large player in state Wind Power."